Coattail Effect: How To Use Data To Maximize Results

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Although the presidential coattail effect has been an object of frequent study, the question of whether popular congressional candidates boost vote shares in return for their parties presidential candidates remains unexplored. Causal identification of coattail effects is challenging because popularity shocks typically affect parties in both concurrent elections. In this article i estimate the magnitude of such coattail effects from governors onto other concurrently elected statewide executive officers using a unique dataset of county election returns for all statewide executive office elections in the united states from 1987 to 2010.

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We find that a substantial part of coattails is driven by a. An increase in turnout. Given that we observe the largest coattails for the parties with the lowest chances. Municipal authorities and state legislatures can drive the effect.

SciELO Brasil - Popularidade e indicação: condicionantes do efeito de

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And finally, using the availability of data.

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